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Honest Information, Profitable Trading

Durudarshan - Investment Analysis

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2015 may be a very good year, but caution ahead

Posted on February 6, 2015 at 7:09 AM Comments comments ()
Two Thousand and Fifteen may become a very good year, for most nations.

In China, where they recently cut rates and introduced a Trillion Dollar stimulus, the dynamics of internal growth and development as well as for the export markets suggests robust growth.  The Honourable Xi Jinping is quoted as saying that China will achieve a new standard in progress.  His words are welcome, and should give heart to anyone who may be fearing a slowdown in China.  The actual production and shipments overseas ( I hear huge ship loads arriving in Britain, and for the first time in many years hear the trains ferry the goods across in the middle of the night in a huge procession) testify to that.

In the U.S., the start of Prosperity which I had foreseen for November 2014 seems to have materialised, and heatmaps of happiness continue to grow for the people there, with increasing numbers of auto purchases, mortgages taken out on single family units, more people in work both seasonal and permanent, lower Oil prices (although that is a mixed blessing), and good weather, apart from the recent snow.

I see the DOW going upto 18,500* by June this year, although the prospects for 2016 may be mild, with perhaps the saving grace of Hillary Clinton becoming elected as the President.  Sentator Jeb Bush is a strong candidate, but I detect the dynamics at play will ensure the Democrats will again have tenure of the highest position in the land. 

*I am just expressing my opinion, based on the logics of what I perceive.  People should speculate at their own risk.

The Oil producing nations will have to work in co-operation and ensure a stable oil price, otherwise their dollar-denominated revenues will not meet the cost of their imports, and may lead to ques outside empty supermarkets, waiting to buy stocks (g00ds) which are being rationed, as in Venezuela. 
It makes me cringe in shock to see the situation in Ukraine, where the rebels loyal to the Soviet leadership are wrecking havoc and creating ghost towns, where life seems at 1950s levels.  Mr Putin can be generous and call these people off.  He must extricate himself from this very messy situation.  It is doing no one any good.  Once peace is restored in this region, hopefully the Rouble will recover, and help people in Russia share the common prosperity that is developing worldwide.  Oil seems to be bouncing around levels which may be optimum, and which may prove good for everybody, including the newly formed shale and fracking operators.  Mr Putin has to apply the generosity principle, and help the kindred folks in Ukraine.  That conflict is just so unnecessary, it is just like bullying people who at one time Mr Putin was willing to big a brotherly hug.  I just don't believe it.

Under Pradhanmantri Shree Modiji, India is on track for the fastest growth since Independence, although the recent industrial productions figures at 2.6 percent seem so faint.  Provided the RBI decide to enjoin the procession of Recovery and lower the benchmark repo rate, things should improve.  There is a great natural appetite for investment into India, with the right atmosphere.  Creating a major air hub to compete with what exists in the Arab Emirates may be a good raising of the bar, but let us all wait and see what will actually materialise.  But in the meantime, the commencement of building a 100 new cities seems a great vision, and Modiji has my congratulations.  I hope his BJP policymakers and bureaucrats will ensure implementation and fulfilment of such measures.

The caution that I mentioned....while times are good, save a little for the future, and build some reserves for the second half of 2016, when it will all come in handy.


May the Lord's blessings be upon all.


Kind regards,

Durudarshan H. Dadlani


(c) Copyright. 



 





Contact at Facebook: Durudarshan Dadlani

Posted on March 2, 2014 at 4:19 PM Comments comments ()
My topical comments are on Facebook.  Please connect and read on there.

I wrote a blog yesterday, which disappeared!

Posted on November 27, 2013 at 5:32 AM Comments comments ()

Where next for the worldwide economic Recovery?

Posted on November 26, 2013 at 8:04 AM Comments comments ()

What is the Mystery Method?

Posted on November 13, 2013 at 3:08 PM Comments comments ()
Today the markets looked so mixed, I decided to take a stroll to the town and popped in at a bookstore.
 
There is something a bit forlorn about the carpets, and so many shelves looking emptied during open times gave me the impression that they are either going to lay on the decorations for Christmas or close down.  I hope not the latter, for there were half a dozen people browsing, in the 50 plus group, at one glance, so the type of people who enjoy books and likely have the spending power also. 
 
I couldn't see any books on technical analysis, nor on social media.  Perhaps that's what the empty shelves are for. 
 
My eye fell on a seductive book, The Mystery Method...a glance through it made me cheer up.
It says use women's perfume instead of aftershave!  and the man seen with women at a bar finds more attraction, just like the house just sold or the girl just engaged gets envious glances. 
 
The writer of that work on etiquette for the lothario or would be Casanova must know a few things, as he has even coached people to sit at a pub with him and directed them to go and chat up the woman of their fancy.  Certainly some willpower is necessary to go and chat the gorgeous woman no-one else seems to go up to.  That's what the Mystery Method teaches.  It's somewhat like giving someone the courage to trade.
 
Useful skills.
 
The book gives fresh amusement, such as seems to be absent in some of the oh-so-direct books that people probably buy in a hurry then wish they hadn't.  But this book liked like a nice cuddly cat.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 

Remembrance Day at the LDS, Ilford

Posted on November 10, 2013 at 11:40 AM Comments comments ()
Remembrance Day at the Ilford chapel of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints was marked by the Bishop and congregation paying respects to the memories of the heroes and heroines who gave their lives in the quest for freedom from tyranny and injustice. 
 
How great a freedom we enjoy today as citizens of England is all due to the heroes and heroines who laid down their lives, as well as those valiant men and women who helped negotiate peace and brought forward this day into being.
 
Brother Jeremy Boyden : "We remember all those who made the ultimate sacrifice, like our Saviour, and we mark this day when peace was first agreed between all nations, on 11th November 1918".
 
The President's wife Sister Saltzman read a poem about Flanders Fields.
 
The Bishop's son, Brother Michael Onaolapo Jnr : "Greater love hath no man then He who gave up His own life so that others may live."
 
Sister Shannon Pickering, who was baptised in the Ilford ward two weeks ago, spoke a few words about the loving atmosphere that prevails in this land, thanks to people like her gransparents who did their bit during the war.
 
Sister Joanne Boyden read a famous poem, starting The glory shines upon my tears....She read the bit about hopes and expectations and stars and then became very emotional.  (I asked her later; she explained that her Mother lost two brothers in the war). (For the Fallen, Robert Laurence Binyon).
 
Brother Michael Lighten paid tribute to the great example of Captain Noel Godfrey Chavasse, recounting events in the Captain's life  in the Royal Army Medical Corp, who had to combine civilian with military duties at the front, where he saw within a few hours 189 casualties out of 600.  Captain Chavasse worked behind enemy lines for four hours, just 500 yards to safety.    On another occasion just 25 yards from enemy trenches. Altogether, Captain Chavasse saved the lives of approximately 20,000 men.
On another occasion, he worked with protection against an attack of mustard gas.
     Noel picked up his torch, and rose up in his time, working against impossible conditions of mud, blood and water.  Captain Chavasse was decoated with a rare second Victoria Cross.  Such men are rare indeed, and we all recall his courage with awe and celebration.
 
"For their tomorrows, we give our today"  John Maxwell Edmonds.  That was the spirit of the unknown solider, great soul who's memory we salute today.
 
We stood and paid our respects to the memories of the men and women who have won the freedoms that have greatly contributed to the enjoyment of peace and peaceful life that England enjoys today.
 
Bishop Onaolapo made these closing remarks : "We are here because of the sacrifices the soldiers, male and female, have made for us.  That is why the great atmosphere of stability and safety, friendliness and love prevails in this nation.  I am sure this country will go from strength to strength because of that, and I am proud to be a citizen of this great country of ours."
 
I believe this sums up the congregations sentiments on this day, when we salute those whose lives were lost, as well as those who brought about peace.
 
May God's blessings be upon all.
 
Amen
(written by Duru-darshan
Melchizedek Priest,
LDS Ilford ward)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

www.durudarshan.co.uk/blog

Posted on November 9, 2013 at 6:12 AM Comments comments ()
My thanks to the staff at these Search Engines for listing and indexing my website, and to Vistaprint for so beautifully hosting my website over last 28 months.  It has built from strength to strength, drawing many visitors each day. Thanks to all :
                        Stumbleupon
                        Google (the multi-trillion dollar brain)
                        Twitter  (tweet tweet to you)
                        LinkedIn (professional and so well defined)
                        j.mp
                        Yahoo (book readers love you)
                        Bing (looks like people like spy thrillers)
                        and, just for good measure, a few porno sites, harmless fun is okay I'd say.
 
My blogs being read overnight are as follows :
  -  The ECB's 25 basispoint cut
  -  Stephanie Ruhle, CNBC interviewer 
         (She's actually an anchor for Bloomberg, working in New York)
  -  This is time for buyers to support Bangladesh factories
          (American companies have done so, may blessings be unto them)
  -  Thomas Sugrue's review of The Last Great Prophet
  -  The Bank of America share price.
 
----------------------------------------------LIZZIE--------------------------------------------------------------
 
Yesterday I heard the news that China has experienced good growth and far from a hard-landing which people feared it is experiencing very sound growth, with PMI figures up and increasing. 
 
One commentator has stated that China has several trillion dollars of reserves for investment, so I imagine the worldwide boom can continue.  Today I heard that 80 percent of visas being taken for visits to Portugal are for Chinese property investors.  This way, all economies with an open-door policy to encouraging property ownership and immigration would benefit from the Chinese wherewithal to sustain growth and Recovery. 
 
If the Chinese sources are suggesting U.S. is looking for $561 Billion for next six months, it augers well for the U.S. that the jobs numbers were pretty good and growth potential is inherent in America, and it would be very probable that China would support such borrowings and support, as they have done in the recent past. 
 
The luxury sector may start to rebound in China, who continue to buy Rolls Royce cars and jets as never before, and with the refocus on domestic consumption and increasing exports from China, it is apparent that the Honourable Xi Jinping is inspiring policies that will help the Chinese people achieve higher standards of living. 
 
For stability and optimism into the near future, what more could the world wish for?
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 

Hello Putian, Beijing, China....

Posted on October 23, 2013 at 3:29 PM Comments comments ()
Recently I've had a lot of visitors to my blog and website from Putian as well as Beijing. 
 
I note the Indian Premier Dr Manmohan Singh has been to visit Beijing soon after his trip to Moscow, and
things are looking good for co-operation on peacefully observing each other's shared borders as well as increase in friendly relations and trade.
 
My personal hope is to become nominated by the Congress Party of India (UPA) as the Prime Ministerial candidate for May 2014.  Should my wish be fulfilled with approval of Rahul and Mrs Sonia Gandhi, I would be thrilled and would go to India straight away to start campaigning in earnest. 
 
I have a vision for India as a good neighbour to China, Russia, Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh, Afghanistan and the whole region, as well as to unlock the huge potential that there obviously is for growth of infrastructure such as roads, bridges, dams, power generation, further irrigation, as well as housing, hospitals, schools, universities, and so on, which would utilise the resources and cater to the public, as well as use the skills and expertise internationally in building up this great nation.  I have lived in London the last 41 years, and see the n-th degree developments of this nation (United Kingdom) as something India could well try to aim for.  I imagine that with India's resources both of the peoples' savings and growing expectations of improvements in living standards, it would fit hand-in-glove. 
 
It is regrettable that there have been skirmishes on the international border with Pakistan, especially just after Dr Manmohan Singh-ji had constructive talks with Pakistan PM Nawaz Sharif in New York recently. Mr Nawaz Sharif  has a great reputation as a man of his people and a positive personality, who would only wish the best for his people and continuation of peaceful co-existence with India.  The Indian PM has offered bilateral talks on this issue to find a resolution, and I sincerely hope common-sense and peace prevails once again.
 
I hope my readers will be able to make an accurate picture of what I would like to do, and I would welcome your comments on this matter.
 
In the meantime, I wish you a peaceful and happy evening.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 
 
 
 

Hello Simferopol !

Posted on June 3, 2013 at 4:09 PM Comments comments ()
Thanks to readers today from Simferopol. I know you are in Ukraine. 
I looked up Simferopol on the internet.  I got a webpage saying "From Russia With Love".
Romantic love is something people like, including me of course. 
I noticed a story about Lynn the missionary getting married to a local brother in your city.
It has the old world kind of air, with blue trams, and people sitting in a church or something
holding orange hymn books or singing a song (I say that because of the chap standing up, probably conducting the music.)
You have a beautiful city, with a pride in its heritage.
 
Seems like a good place to visit.
 
And as Ukraine merges with the European Union, I hope the powers that be can seriously consider
adjusting the Euro so that Ukraine gets a level start.
 
I have great admiration for Yulia Tymoshenko, who through her noble act on a freezing cold Saturday helped to save people in Europe from freezing to death.  I hope she can be pardoned and allowed to live with her freedom.  She should even be celebrated.  She is a great person with a great heart.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 

Welcome Amsterdam, Walnut, Atlanta....

Posted on May 26, 2013 at 1:53 PM Comments comments ()
Today I have had over 130 visitors to my webiste from Amsterdam, there are some fellow LDS members, who are the first ones I remembered when I saw the location of my visitors.  Hope everything is fine in your flower laden city, beautiful with sunshine.
 
Today's testimonies at the Church here in Ilford were inspiring.
 
The first one was from Sister Aziz, the eldest of five children whose parents too are Christian, and gladly sent her to London to serve her mission.  She has been here eighteen months, the last six in Ilford.  Here is her testimony:  "To be a missionary to stop people in the street wasn't easy for me.  You feel the Spirit; I feel very close to my Heavenly Father."  She has faith : "When we obey, He blesses us."
What motivates her, inspires her?  "The Saviour has given His life for the people He has served.  What can we do for Him?"
Sister Aziz liked being in Ilford, which has a sizeable multicultural population, including people from Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Sri Lanka, Poland, Russia, etc.  "I feel Ilford has been home and I am always going to remember you.  I only wish I can use the Atonement everyday in my life".
Sister Aziz is back on Tuesday to Pakistan, a nation which now promises to have a wider democracy and prosperity for the common man, under the Premiership of Nawaz Sharif, the Napoleon of Pakistan.  He is a foward thinking businessman, an industrialist, who will put to good use his relationships with the developed economies to put Pakistan back on course to regeneration and growth.  For that I pray.
 
Twelve-year old, a deacon who loves to serve the sacrament and regularly shares his testimony, Thevin Pereira today shared what Fasting means to him.  "Fasting  is very important to me.    When I first tried, it was hard.  I kept on being tempted to eat food."  What kept him going?  "Jesus Christ fasted for 40 days."  Now he feels he can fast at least once a month, on Fasting Sunday (first Sunday of each month).
"I really like fasting, it is important and I like it.  I know we have a living Prophet on earth".
 
Amen.
 
(written by Duru-darshan
Melchizedek Priest at
the Ilford chapel)
 
 

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