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Honest Information, Profitable Trading

Durudarshan - Investment Analysis

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2015 may be a very good year, but caution ahead

Posted on February 6, 2015 at 7:09 AM Comments comments ()
Two Thousand and Fifteen may become a very good year, for most nations.

In China, where they recently cut rates and introduced a Trillion Dollar stimulus, the dynamics of internal growth and development as well as for the export markets suggests robust growth.  The Honourable Xi Jinping is quoted as saying that China will achieve a new standard in progress.  His words are welcome, and should give heart to anyone who may be fearing a slowdown in China.  The actual production and shipments overseas ( I hear huge ship loads arriving in Britain, and for the first time in many years hear the trains ferry the goods across in the middle of the night in a huge procession) testify to that.

In the U.S., the start of Prosperity which I had foreseen for November 2014 seems to have materialised, and heatmaps of happiness continue to grow for the people there, with increasing numbers of auto purchases, mortgages taken out on single family units, more people in work both seasonal and permanent, lower Oil prices (although that is a mixed blessing), and good weather, apart from the recent snow.

I see the DOW going upto 18,500* by June this year, although the prospects for 2016 may be mild, with perhaps the saving grace of Hillary Clinton becoming elected as the President.  Sentator Jeb Bush is a strong candidate, but I detect the dynamics at play will ensure the Democrats will again have tenure of the highest position in the land. 

*I am just expressing my opinion, based on the logics of what I perceive.  People should speculate at their own risk.

The Oil producing nations will have to work in co-operation and ensure a stable oil price, otherwise their dollar-denominated revenues will not meet the cost of their imports, and may lead to ques outside empty supermarkets, waiting to buy stocks (g00ds) which are being rationed, as in Venezuela. 
It makes me cringe in shock to see the situation in Ukraine, where the rebels loyal to the Soviet leadership are wrecking havoc and creating ghost towns, where life seems at 1950s levels.  Mr Putin can be generous and call these people off.  He must extricate himself from this very messy situation.  It is doing no one any good.  Once peace is restored in this region, hopefully the Rouble will recover, and help people in Russia share the common prosperity that is developing worldwide.  Oil seems to be bouncing around levels which may be optimum, and which may prove good for everybody, including the newly formed shale and fracking operators.  Mr Putin has to apply the generosity principle, and help the kindred folks in Ukraine.  That conflict is just so unnecessary, it is just like bullying people who at one time Mr Putin was willing to big a brotherly hug.  I just don't believe it.

Under Pradhanmantri Shree Modiji, India is on track for the fastest growth since Independence, although the recent industrial productions figures at 2.6 percent seem so faint.  Provided the RBI decide to enjoin the procession of Recovery and lower the benchmark repo rate, things should improve.  There is a great natural appetite for investment into India, with the right atmosphere.  Creating a major air hub to compete with what exists in the Arab Emirates may be a good raising of the bar, but let us all wait and see what will actually materialise.  But in the meantime, the commencement of building a 100 new cities seems a great vision, and Modiji has my congratulations.  I hope his BJP policymakers and bureaucrats will ensure implementation and fulfilment of such measures.

The caution that I mentioned....while times are good, save a little for the future, and build some reserves for the second half of 2016, when it will all come in handy.


May the Lord's blessings be upon all.


Kind regards,

Durudarshan H. Dadlani


(c) Copyright. 



 





Inspiration from the LDS Church, Ilford

Posted on August 25, 2013 at 2:03 PM Comments comments ()
I was glad to see Terry at the church today.  He has been to the hospital.  Last time he said he was going for a cancer operation.  Today he looked fine.
 
Eleven-year old Brother Joseph Omuroyi was asked to give a talk on Prayer.  He had just been asked this morning, so he gave an impromptu speech : "How can we talk to our Heavenly Father?  Prayer is the basic thing we do, when we get home and at the end of the day."  I am sure we all pray for safety for all our loved ones.  "I know my Father loves me.  Without prayer I wouldn't feel that protection".  
 
Today, we were joined by four new missionaries.  Sister Stoja is from Tirana, Albania.  She stood at the pilpit and made her introductory speech : "I know this Church is true.  I know the Book of Mormon is true.  It is a blessing for me to be here.  I love you."
 
This is a great, democratic aspect about the Church of Latter-Day Saints, all members are allowed, indeed encouraged, to stand at the pulpit and give their testimonies. 
 
Brother Judy (all missionaries are normally addressed by their surnames, unless they choose to tell us their first names) comes from Utah.  He says "When I was little, I didn't like the rules.  But when I came to this Church, I learned that the two great commandments were these: That we should love God our Lord with all our hearts, and all our souls, and all our minds.  The 2nd that we should love our neighbours as we love ourselves.  If we obey these two rules, and have love in our hearts, the other commandments become automatically understood by us."  My sentiments precisely.
 
President Saltzman's daughters are visiting from Utah.  "I feel privileged for the chance to address you. We are all capable of receiving revelations.  The first revelation is that we all have a physical as well as a spiritual identity."  Then he gave the analogy of children learning to ride a bicycle. " We are all capable of receiving revelations.  We have to be prepared to do what the Lord tells us (like the subconscious, me thinks)  If we are not sincere in following through, He will not tell us. 
He is sometimes going to Let Go as we try to ride the bicycle."
 
Later, in the Gospel study class, we all sing Happy Birthday to Sister Grace Patterson, who is here all the way from New Zealand.  It's her 21st.  Happy Birthday, Grace!
 
Sister Kathy Su, who was from Singapore, has gone somewhere else.  Sister Kathy, you were missed.  Also missed Elder Botcha from Andhra Pradesh.
 
I am very impressed by the young missionaries, who have travelled from far and wide, to come and spread the message of our Saviour and Redeemer, whose example of Divine love and understanding has brought all of us together.
 
In His name, I ask for blessings upon us all.
Amen.
(Written by Duru-darshan
Melchizedek Priest, LDS Ilford)
 

"Obedience"

Posted on August 17, 2013 at 5:35 PM Comments comments ()
Brothers and Sisters, I have been asked to give a brief talk on the subject of Obedience. 
 
This is a subject which is very relevant, for late in life, I have found that it gives joy to parents to find their offspring are obedient.  By this I imply that children listen to parents' guidance, and do what would find approval in the parents' hearts and minds.  And so it must be with our Heavenly Father.  And what can be more joyful than to know that we do according to God's wishes, which are known to each one of us according to the dictates of our nature and our conscience.  Just as when we are mature and realize that it makes our parents happy if we do that which they would approve, that we are dutiful and obedient children, similarly, I realise that our God in Heaven looks upon with pleasure when we do what he would have us do.
 
There are rich rewards as fruits of obedience, in the form of good health, good life, good guidance, good nature.  To see what our elders have found true, I read President Lorenzo Snow saying that  "ever feeling grateful for our earthly being, and more especially for the Spirit of God we have received through obedience to the Gospel."  That is really a message of good faith, that we receive the Spirit of God in our hearts when we are obedient.  That is such a precious gift.
 
For such approval and such guidance, the method of following the Gospel is quite straightforward.  When I was 13, the love of Christ found a place in my heart, and somehow automatically I have most of my life followed the gospel, without consciously thinking about it.
 
When Jesus was on Earth, a lawyer asked Him "Master, what is the great commandment in the law?"
 
Our Saviour said unto him : "Thou shalt love the Lord thy God with all thy heart, and all thy soul, and all thy mind."
 
That impressed me greatly at age 13, and it has been a great comfort and delight to me, in good times as well as  when I have faced difficulties in life.
 
And the second commandment, "Love thy neighbour as thyself" is a great promoter of understanding of our fellow human beings.  If I am fair to myself, I cannot be mean towards my neighbour if he says a few nasty things about me, after all, unless I don't love myself and would not excuse any shortcomings on my part.  Before I developed this realization, I always took on faith what our Saviour said : "Love thine enemy".  I realized that this is a great formula to save our hearts from burningwith hatred towards anyone who has wronged us.  We don't call Christ our Saviour for nothing.
 
Those who follow these two great commandments are probably likely to love themselves so much and have such a pleasant life, they are likely to follow the rest of the ten commandments even if they were not aware of them.  That I do believe. 
When one is absorbed in living a joyful life in the assurance of receiving the Spirit of God in one's heart here on earth, and today, not some date in the future, then one  simply cannot do ill or fall prey to temptations.  I simply would not wish to have God disapprove of any of my actions, I have such love and respect for our Heavenly Father. 
 
I share my testimony and ask for God's blessings for continued guidance in the name of Jesus, our teacher and Saviour.
 
Amen.
 
(written by Duru-darshan
Melchizedek Priest, LDS Ilford)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Oil price is far too high, despite accomodative policies

Posted on August 8, 2013 at 3:29 AM Comments comments ()
For a continuation of the worldwide economic Recovery, in my opinion the price of Oil is far too high  - both WTI and Brent, which hit parity recently and have been both in backwardation on the far futures contracts.
 
The holding of or reduction of benchmark rates in accommodative policies is brilliant, and the only way forward.  The Australian Reserve Bank, U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of England are setting the tone for continuation of Recovery.
 
Mr Raghuram Rajan has been appointed Governor at the Reserve Bank of India, and assumed his post there on 5th September.  In his name are coded the most fond Hindu wishes in Godhead, just as they chant Raghupati Ragav Rajaram.  Hope he will set policies to utilise the various fiscal tools he has at his disposal, and help renew expansionary growth in the Indian economy.  It is noted that he is a gregarious, media-friendly personality, so presumably the world will hear more about what he has in mind. 
 
Oil price at anything above $85 per barrel is too high, and will continue to slow down the world economies.  When people are unable to feed themselves and their children in Yemen and other places, most of the developing world I would surmise, it is time for the OPEC nations to pause and consider what would be best for everybody.  Growing unemployment in South Africa (over 25 percent) and other countries, where social security is not a state policy, does not indicate a robust world picture.  It is imperative that the Oil price be reduced, for continuation of worldwide economic Recovery, which in turn will be able to sustain infrastructure growth in the OPEC and other nations. 
 
Israel with an unemployment rate of over 25 percent could do with international goodwill for their technologically advanced products, and a peace in that region can only help bring the oil price down and help the economies in that region.  In a cooling off of tensions lies the way forward to peace and prosperity.
 
Enlightened souls who help govern the policies, the duty is yours to do the needful.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 

Welcome, readers, my posts this month

Posted on July 31, 2013 at 1:52 PM Comments comments ()
Hello, dear Readers, my posts this month have been as follows.  There was a slight problem with my Vistaprint site, and I was not getting the up-to-date statistics recently, so in case there has been a problem with the communication, I thought I'd bring you up-to-date with my posts :-
 
1)  Hello, Oakland, Cairo, Goma  16/7
 
2)  In God we trust, Charity, Spiritual and Temporal Blessings  17/7
 
3)  Detroit filed for Chapter 9 Bankruptcy  19/7
 
4)  Hello Everybody...Oakland, Detroit, Miami  21/7
 
5)  Could the Himalayan tsunami have been averted?  22/7
 
6)  Potholes, potholes everywhere...hello India   25/7
 
7)  Right selection, with confidence, will restore Prosperity  26/7
 
8)  Baba Ramdev shop in Seven Kings  27/7
 
9)  'I trust according to the spirit of God that is within me'  28/7
 
As always, I look forward to receiving your comments.  Keep them coming in- at lasts count, I had received a gratifying 806 comments to 1180 posts.  Wey hey, readers, I am glad to hear from you.
 
Wish you a joyful time in your activities.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 
 
 
 

Right selection, with confidence, will restore Prosperity

Posted on July 26, 2013 at 8:40 AM Comments comments ()
Yesterday I passed a beautiful shop, Nails of Promise, in Gants Hill, Ilford.
 
Previously, I had been to view this shop, when it was lying empty.  At that time, somebody had just stopped trading there as a Training Provider .  The empty premises were naturally depressive.
The figures didn't stack up for me and a partner for a venture we had in mind.
 
But yesterday when I saw the shop, I was really impressed.  The proprietor, Tony Fox, who is from Brazil, has turned the shop into a beautiful salon, specialising in doing nails.  Now that is a service people like, and most ladies are prepared to pay the charges for beautification.  Ton told me he has a full book, busy every day, and has to turn customers away until he adds a trainee in the very near future.  "Most young people don't realize that the first thing in a business is customer service : how to attend customers and attend to their needs.  And training obviously takes time and attention."
 
He took the empty shell of a shop and has done it up beautifully, with an ivory white laminate floor, complementing walls, lights and mirrors, ceramic desks, swivel chairs, sofas, table lamps and a slim chandelier. You can well imagine what sort of figure conscious customers come in here.
 
He did all the interior decorating himself, with a budget of about thirty thousand pounds.  It's taken courage and confidence to create this salon, but it is doing well, and will grow in the near future.
 
In this location, most other businesses would not have survived, because there are other competing establishments not far away.  But a Nail Salon, great promise.  I draw the lesson from this that the right choice of business (or even a political candidate), backed with promise, will restore Prosperity. 
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 
 
 

What has Utah to recommend it? Everything

Posted on July 9, 2013 at 5:43 PM Comments comments ()
I have just returned from a reception held to host the Governor of Utah, Gary Herbert, at Dechert llp's spacious offices in Queen Victoria Street, EC4.
 
I learnt a few things about Utah that tells me it is a very business friendly and enjoyable place to work in, live in or visit. 
 
Utah, together with Dakota and Texas, are the fastest growing states in the U.S, and of the three, Utah is the only one with an economy diversified in seven sectors (Dakota and Texas are mainly concentrated on Energy). 
 
Financial Sector, Aerospace and Defense, Software, are big number producers for Utah, which has kept businesses taxation low for the last 15 years, and has an impressive GDP growth of 4 percent.  It has five national parks, ski slopes, the famous church in Salt Lake City, places of historical interest. 
 
Talking to Governor Herbert, I realized that he and his administration have allowed a pro-growth citizen-friendly philosophy that naturally creates growth.  Activity and consumption create wealth and support a successful economy.  There is something to emulate about the leadership and governance in Utah, I believe.
 
Governor Herbert mentioned he had recently visited Ramallah, so I asked him what were the three  things they need there to create peace and economic growth.  "Eighty five percent of the people in Ramallah want to live peacefully and get along with the rest of the world."  Is there something the rest of the world community can do to help them?  "Yes; investment and aid and trade". What else?
"Good leadership.  A people need a leader like they need a king.  But they don't need any king; they need a good king, a righteous king."  The Guvnor and his delegation had talks with Mr Haddad there, who must be a good leader, representative of his people, for the visitors from Utah to engage in talks with him. 
 
In a nation which has donkey carts for transport, and a small fridge is a prized possession, can one imagine what it would do to create a wherewithal to provide Gaza and the West Bank with fridges, cars (which are plentiful in the developed countries), and help with building their infrastructure, so life for the people there can improve?  As people see such gestures of help and co-operation, their hearts will listen that they too are of the same family as the people of Isaac and Ishmael, of Israel and the twelve tribes of North Africa (which are the modern twelve rich and powerful kingdoms in the Middle East).
I imagine some good gesture for that region following on from the visit of these worthy men, who are the representatives of the spirit of Christ, of the Mormon Church (officially known as the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints).
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan
 
 
 
 

Swollen legs

Posted on July 8, 2013 at 4:13 AM Comments comments ()
Swollen legs are a most painful condition.  I am diabetic, and I developed swollen legs, and I was frightened.
 
My legs used to feel like lead.  The blood was not circulating properly.  In fact, blood was collecting in the lower parts of the legs.  I was determined to find relief for me, through some method, if a method there was.
 
First thing I remembered was something called 'bench exercises', which a reknowned magazine owner had once written about.  I tried what I imagined were bench exercises.  I would hold the edge of the table and try to raise up and down on my legs - do sit ups holding the table.  Very painful with bloated legs.
 
But observing Baba Ramdev doing his exercises on Aastah TV, I realized that the way to do this exercise is to lie flat on the back, then BREATHE OUT and bring one knee to the chest, BREATHE OUT again and bring the other knee to the chest.  In other words, knock the air out of the stomach, naturally and not forcefully.  The relax.  And, still lying down on the back, do cycling movements with your legs, for five, ten, fifteen, twenty minutes progressively as the legs become less bloated, more normal and are able to take more exercise.
 
Another thing, and in fact the first thing to do, is to soak your legs in a bucket of warm-to-hot water with some Dettol or antibacterial liquid, and enjoy this for 20 minutes to half hour, till the veins open up and gradually after a few days the circulation may be restored to normal.
 
The third thing is to wear tights (or hosiery) from a chemists shop, although I imagine any tights will do for the time-being if those are not available.  Wearing the tights will give pressure to maintain the good work done.  Then, if you follow this routine, within about eight weeks, your legs will start to look and feel normal.  Then use this routine with your own judgement, as and when necessary.
 
May friends, I wish you good health.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 
 

Wear a silly hat and drink a pinta milk a day

Posted on July 6, 2013 at 4:30 AM Comments comments ()
What else?  It is wisdom from Wal-Mart chairman to wear a silly hat to lighten things up.  A light mood, some light music as well, lightens up the atmosphere and makes people optimistic and believe in the future, as everyone should.  If people learn from the past, live in the present, and look forward to the future with hope and rosy expectations, why, isn't it possible that that is precisely what we can bring into being? 
 
Bob Proctor in his book, You Were Born Rich, says that an acorn has a blueprint to grow into an oak tree.  When the acorn seed is planted, it develops roots and drinks up water (rather like a businessman drinks up the necessary knowledge to grow his business as he goes along).  Then, when it shows its head above ground, all the necessary energy that allows it to grow into an oak tree comes to it.  That is the natural law of attraction. 
 
Milk is plentiful in some parts of the world, but people don't seem to buy as much milk as they used to before, because it has gone up a few pence in price.  Compared to most other things, this nutritious and delicious drink is still one of the cheapest drinks available, and so wholesome.  I don't see why some supermarkets in England charge £1.50 for 4 pints when the corner shop charges £1.10 or £1.20 while other supermarkets charge a £1.00 - for the same size.  Couldn't they all try for some medium price, like £1.20 or £1.25, then all farmers, suppliers and distributors can make a fair living?  The Drink a Pinta Milk a Day poster campaign of the 1970s/80s is something I remember, and I was often encouraged to buy a pint and drink it with a straw at the corner shops.  What a delight!
 
So, as humanity and all living creatures (who humanity looks after) were born rich, it would be a sign of faith to believe in a bright future and yes, wear a silly hat and sing a song, and get some straws out and drink some milk or cream.
 
Wish you a happy Saturday and weekend.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 

Forest fires...in Arizona

Posted on July 2, 2013 at 6:15 AM Comments comments ()
The news of the forest fires in Arizona has been terrible, with deaths of 19 of the 20 elite firefighting force there.  Such are the tragedies which such brave men give their lives to, in the service of their communities, as part of their job.
 
The rising temperatures in various regions of the world, including the mid and west coast of USA, points to the urgent need for something to be done in thinning forests by punctually felling trees in a systematic fashion so that there is least contact between trees and would help prevent forest fires from catching on and spreading further.
 
If there were five trees in a row, and five rows of trees, then a suggestion would be to take out the first, third and fifth tree of the first row, and 2nd and 4th of the second row; then first, third and fifth of third row; and so on.  Draw a little diagram and see.  Such felling would not cause deforestation, and would in fact add to the fertility of that land, as fewer trees drink the water.  It would change the ecological system for the better, with more moisture in the air, improving humidity, and lessening the tinder-box stage which has caused such devastation in Arizona. 
 
Every year, at around this time of the year, forest fires are heard of in Greece, Australia, west coast U.S. and various places, with loss of houses and lives. 
 
My hope remains that the authorities in all such areas would make a concerted effort to thin the forests, and the central governments must allocate budgets and help in this cause.  Nationally and internationally, such initiatives and their implementation can only benefit all world communities.  They would make a much needed contribution to reducing global warming as well.
 
I close this with a prayer - May the souls of the brave Arizona firefighters rest in peace in Heaven.
 
Amen.
 
(written by Duru-darshan)
 
 
 
 
 

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