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Honest Information, Profitable Trading

Durudarshan - Investment Analysis

My Blog

Blog

I wrote a blog yesterday, which disappeared!

Posted on November 27, 2013 at 5:32 AM Comments comments (9)

www.durudarshan.co.uk/blog

Posted on November 9, 2013 at 6:12 AM Comments comments (19)
My thanks to the staff at these Search Engines for listing and indexing my website, and to Vistaprint for so beautifully hosting my website over last 28 months.  It has built from strength to strength, drawing many visitors each day. Thanks to all :
                        Stumbleupon
                        Google (the multi-trillion dollar brain)
                        Twitter  (tweet tweet to you)
                        LinkedIn (professional and so well defined)
                        j.mp
                        Yahoo (book readers love you)
                        Bing (looks like people like spy thrillers)
                        and, just for good measure, a few porno sites, harmless fun is okay I'd say.
 
My blogs being read overnight are as follows :
  -  The ECB's 25 basispoint cut
  -  Stephanie Ruhle, CNBC interviewer 
         (She's actually an anchor for Bloomberg, working in New York)
  -  This is time for buyers to support Bangladesh factories
          (American companies have done so, may blessings be unto them)
  -  Thomas Sugrue's review of The Last Great Prophet
  -  The Bank of America share price.
 
----------------------------------------------LIZZIE--------------------------------------------------------------
 
Yesterday I heard the news that China has experienced good growth and far from a hard-landing which people feared it is experiencing very sound growth, with PMI figures up and increasing. 
 
One commentator has stated that China has several trillion dollars of reserves for investment, so I imagine the worldwide boom can continue.  Today I heard that 80 percent of visas being taken for visits to Portugal are for Chinese property investors.  This way, all economies with an open-door policy to encouraging property ownership and immigration would benefit from the Chinese wherewithal to sustain growth and Recovery. 
 
If the Chinese sources are suggesting U.S. is looking for $561 Billion for next six months, it augers well for the U.S. that the jobs numbers were pretty good and growth potential is inherent in America, and it would be very probable that China would support such borrowings and support, as they have done in the recent past. 
 
The luxury sector may start to rebound in China, who continue to buy Rolls Royce cars and jets as never before, and with the refocus on domestic consumption and increasing exports from China, it is apparent that the Honourable Xi Jinping is inspiring policies that will help the Chinese people achieve higher standards of living. 
 
For stability and optimism into the near future, what more could the world wish for?
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 

Narayani Namastute!

Posted on October 19, 2013 at 12:21 PM Comments comments (7)
When I get so many readers from Kansas City to my blog, I think Narayani Namastute! Narayani Namastute!  Yes, on the auspicious  day of Full Moon, as it was yesterday, and with the conjunction of the debt ceiling raise decision in the U.S., I was wondering what the Kansas City Fed Chairman Narayanan Kocharlakota was thinking.  I haven't read anything in the press, but he is normally an advocate of quantitative easing with deliberate measure.  In this regard, again, it is early days to see a ballpark figure of the debt ceiling raise, and for the 4 months of January 15th, Congress has announced that the U.S. government will be fully funded.  Their Comptroller is likely to know what that means, and how much money will continue to flow into the system until then. 
 
In the meantime, it must be a great relief that the shutdown has been lifted.  Never again, I can hear everyone saying.  People have lost income and business, tourists have suffered not being able to visit monuments and museums they may have especially travelled over the States to visit.  The short but very long 14 days have cost the U.S. dear, to the tune of some $24 Billion in lost revenue and productivity.  The lesson is clear, such a shutdown over an extended period would cause the economy to slow down, and the economy to lose something on the GDP measure.  It is like an economy in good shape being told to trim down.  Never again, I hope.
 
As to the ballpark figure, my suggestion is $1.32 Trillion over 20 months, which works out at $66 Billion per month.  After payment of some $60 Billion per month for the social security net, that leaves $6 Billion per month for enterprise and job creation.  Jobs ranging in pay from $20 or $30,000 per annum to $250,000 per annum could be created, perhaps 300,000 or 400,000 per month.  And he presto! within six months the U.S. would have whizzed on from Recovery to Prosperity. 
 
But that's just a ballpark figure I am suggesting.  At current Stimulus of $85 Billion per month, maybe it could be different.  In view of the regime of Abenomics in Japan and their Stimulus of $85 Billion per month, the per capita differential is in Japan's favour.  It is a theme to be explored over the coming days. 
 
I am glad to note the global economic order has been stabilised after the agreement in the U.S. on the debt ceiling raise.  As they all enjoy four months of relative calm and stability until 15th January and then to 7th February, I trust they will have this in mind and not give everyone, including themselves, a tough time. 
 
Certainly, the costings and implementation of Obamacare is something they can review and see how technically it would be best implemented.  The beginnings of the British NHS took about 40 years in gestation, before it received the blessing as a Royal Charter in 1947 under the kind King George.  Obamacare is by comparison in its infancy, and needs to be tweaked and explored before this very sound principle can bring benefits to the citizens and the nation.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 
 
 

Mixed signals about the economic picture

Posted on July 30, 2013 at 8:08 AM Comments comments (2)
There seem to be mixed signals about the economy. 
 
The OPEC countries exported oil worth $1.27 Trillion last year, so that much wealth has been created for their economies and the nations who trade with them.  What is baffling is the high Oil price, which in my calculation is far too high to sustain Recovery.  Couple that with an observation made by Prince Al-waleed bin Talaal that in view of increasing shale gas production, especially in the U.S., the world is less reliant on oil from OPEC, meaning declining demand in years to come.  Most OPEC nations' infrastructure development projects would stay on line were the price per barrel no less than $85, that was according to Sheikh Al-Naimi and Sheikh Al-Badari as well as the Algerian oil minister about a year ago. 
 
The housing numbers from the U.S. on the Case-Schiller map have not been as robust as was expected; indeed, housing starts have been the slowest for 18 years.  While reduced inventory is holding up prices, there needs to be much more construction activity.
 
In the meantime, Lakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycles Research Institute, who looks at the leading indicators, suggests he has seen figures to indicate a slow-down, which would probably show up in the real economy in another four-five months time.  Corrective measures by government and big corporations in creating jobs and a resurgence of confidence could help to avert that scenario. 
 
All humans like to eat and drink well, dress well, live in comfortable housing, have good transport, have good entertainment, read books, listen to music, watch movies, play in the park, go on holidays, and so on, and people always have aspirations that the economy - in the combined efforts of all to innovate, develop, utilize and monetize all that God has put on earth - will help them with improving standards of living.  That is what everyone wants. 
 
Good news from the U.S. is that they are creating about 150,000 or more jobs each month, and today sees the announcement by Amazon of the creation of 5,000 jobs at their HQ.
 
I suggest a lower Oil price would help Recovery regain its sure steps, for a worldwide economic Recovery.  I pray for that.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 

Wear a silly hat and drink a pinta milk a day

Posted on July 6, 2013 at 4:30 AM Comments comments (2)
What else?  It is wisdom from Wal-Mart chairman to wear a silly hat to lighten things up.  A light mood, some light music as well, lightens up the atmosphere and makes people optimistic and believe in the future, as everyone should.  If people learn from the past, live in the present, and look forward to the future with hope and rosy expectations, why, isn't it possible that that is precisely what we can bring into being? 
 
Bob Proctor in his book, You Were Born Rich, says that an acorn has a blueprint to grow into an oak tree.  When the acorn seed is planted, it develops roots and drinks up water (rather like a businessman drinks up the necessary knowledge to grow his business as he goes along).  Then, when it shows its head above ground, all the necessary energy that allows it to grow into an oak tree comes to it.  That is the natural law of attraction. 
 
Milk is plentiful in some parts of the world, but people don't seem to buy as much milk as they used to before, because it has gone up a few pence in price.  Compared to most other things, this nutritious and delicious drink is still one of the cheapest drinks available, and so wholesome.  I don't see why some supermarkets in England charge £1.50 for 4 pints when the corner shop charges £1.10 or £1.20 while other supermarkets charge a £1.00 - for the same size.  Couldn't they all try for some medium price, like £1.20 or £1.25, then all farmers, suppliers and distributors can make a fair living?  The Drink a Pinta Milk a Day poster campaign of the 1970s/80s is something I remember, and I was often encouraged to buy a pint and drink it with a straw at the corner shops.  What a delight!
 
So, as humanity and all living creatures (who humanity looks after) were born rich, it would be a sign of faith to believe in a bright future and yes, wear a silly hat and sing a song, and get some straws out and drink some milk or cream.
 
Wish you a happy Saturday and weekend.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 

The magic of human chemistry.

Posted on June 23, 2013 at 4:50 PM Comments comments (4)
There is something about the chemistry, about the language and communication of the mind and soul, which brings people together or drives them apart.  It is this chemistry between people that I would blame for.....or, rather, a change in the chemistry between people that I would blame for separation and divorce. 
 
I am surprised that Napoleon Hill was not given the Noble Prize, but then again there is no category in the Noble Prizes into which his work fits.  Perhaps, on that point, I would suggest there should be another category created by the Trustees of the Noble Foundation.  The Increasing of Human Understanding.
 
Napoleon Hill interviewed 500 of the most successful people in America in the 1920s, and from those interviews he wrote many articles, published in his Hill's Success Magazine.  But a few people made a huge impression on him, viz Andrew Carnegie, Firestone, Henry Ford, Dr.Alexander Graham Bell, and Dr. Thomas Alva Edison.  And yes, Mr Edwin Barnes, who said it could not be done, that is to say, the writing of a blueprint for success based on the interviews with successful people.
 
Napoleon Hill turned that into a questions: Who said it could not be done? and went on to publish his Think and Grow Rich, a book that sells well throughout the world, in many languages, in number just after the sales of the Bible, Koran and Bhagavad-Gita and other religious masterpieces.
 
In his research, Napoleon Hill says that the first three years of a marriage often have petty squabbles and friction, but the love that exists between the two will carry it through.  The next fifteen years are those in which the lucky couple start to look alike in their eye movements and thinking, influencing their value judgements and expressions, meaning the happy couple have achieved understanding of one another, and a state of harmony exists between them that we attribute to the magic of chemistry.
A state of harmony, an instinctive understanding, an automatic understanding of mutual goals. It is like both have the same road-map, or at least complementing road maps.
 
Those for whom a partnership does not work, it seems are rather like a horse-drawn carriage where the horses want to pull in differing directions.  Where it is not possible to bring harmony of direction, abandonment of the journey becomes the alternative.  Such is what happens in business partnerships as well, and in politics as well.
 
A question that may help bring harmony back is : What was the road map that brought the partners together in the first place?  Can it be modified and restored?  If the answer is Yes, then hope still remains for reunion and success.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 

An alternative to the Trillion Dollar Coin

Posted on January 26, 2013 at 3:18 PM Comments comments (8)
The media, as you know, has been joking about a Trillion Dollar Coin for the U.S., embellished with a flattering, smiling portrait of Barrak Obama.  It is a great talking point, and also inspirational.
 
I was wondering who would accept such a coin.  China?  Japan?  Qatar?
 
Actually, if instead they were to mint some Billion Dollar Coins, and perhaps even Million Dollar Coins, that might be a practical and very exciting idea.  Can you imagine, countries could accept those tokens as a symbol of the debt; and then exchange it freely with trade partners, who could trade it further on.
So, the need for default swaps and such-like would be overcome, and become more transparent and tangible.  So, for example, Brazil could have coins to the value of 250 Billion Dollars, and exchange them with whoever they wish, Spain, Russia,China, India, Iran, whoever.  Those Million and Billion Dolar Coins would become collectors tokens, each nation trading for these to gain or decrease their political and stragetic trading partnerships.
 
Maybe a world picture could emerge where Israel or Iran would try to collect Two Trillion Dollars worth of such coins, to try and shift the balance of power in the Middle East?
 
I think peace and stability would reign supreme, and all nations would realise the value of such stability and peace, and how much human labour and innovation and gone into accumulating and servicing such debt and how it is in everyone's interest to keep the debt alive and with it the quest for peace and co-operation and co-existence between all nations.  Aren't all human communities and nations better off safe and sound, eating, drinking and being merry, visiting each other's territory as tourists, and enjoying the fruits of world culture?
 
Who knows, there may even come a time in the future when there will be a need for a higher denomination coin, and the Trillion Dollar Coin will actually come into being?
 
In the meantime, I pray for continued world peace, and continued worldwide economic Recovery.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 

Thanks, Search Engines and Referring Traffic w/e 22/12/12

Posted on December 22, 2012 at 3:29 PM Comments comments (1)
Today is 22nd December 2012, a day that is considered to be one of the most auspicious this year by Drunwald Melchizedek. 
 
Over this week, most traffic has found its way to my website and blog via Google.co.uk, followed by Stumbleupon (Tops for so many weeks, 2nd this time, but never mind), Facebook, LinkedIn and t.co.
Thanks to the staff at all these companies, who do a fabulous job all year round.  I am grateful they list and index me so people can find me.
 
Who is the tenth richest man in West Bengal?  That is a question fed by someone in Vietnam onto the zillion dollar brain (Google).  I don't know, mate, but the richest man in West Bengal is Sanjiv Goenka, reputed to be worth over $750 million (there are 40 billionaires in India, but none so far in Bengal, which shows the distribution in wealth in Bengal is more even as it is a wealthy region, full of potential for further development).
 
The solutions towards solving the fiscal cliff just make people laugh.  A tax burden of $1,000 on people earning $30,000?  That is absurd!  The rich paying a little more if they keep the first 300,000 or so for themselves won't hurt anybody.  But the people on lowest incomes paying $1,000?  That's an idea to make the nation feel well with laughter.  If there is sympathy, and the people at the lowest rungs keep more of their earnings, then the economic momentum can widen and pick up speed, from the bottom up.  That is the clue, by grace of God, a Recovery and then Prosperity from the bottom up.  If the vast majority are able to eat, drink and be merry and buy houses, then the people at the top will prosper further, with the economy running smoothly. 
 
My suggestion is that the Obama administration with support of the Republicans can help create jobs for many many millions, as probably Mitt Romney would have done, for people on $30,000 to $50,000 per annum.  Create jobs for their children and households.  The more the better.  As Abraham Lincoln would have said, the Good Lord loves the poor, that's why there are so many of us. 
 
A broad-based Recovery will create wealth which will help reduce the budget deficit in future years. 
In the meantime, a stimulus will not be out of place.  Indeed, it will be necessary and prudent.
 
Kind regards,
Duru-darshan.
 
 
 

Gifts ...for Christmas and all year round.

Posted on November 29, 2012 at 5:39 PM Comments comments (0)
Dear Readers,
 
I am delighted to say that my blog has become very popular, drawing several hundred readers each day.
 
I have been running this blog since May 2011, and gradually built it up.  I believe in writing words which help improve things, be it political or financial debate or company's performance or stockmarket.
 
"Honest informtion, Profitable trading" those words convey my mission statement.
 
On the same theme, now I am affiliated to Amazon.co.uk/Javari.co.uk and I will select a few good quality and value for money products for you my readers.  It saves you time looking for good products for yourself or a beloved one or a gift for someone special.  Goods which are at a good discount as well.
 
Without further ado, today's chosen items are as follows.  Please remember, if you purchase on a link via durudarshan.co.uk at Amazon.co.uk, only then will I get some commission.  If you are going to buy a product, you may as well buy it from me, I hope. 
 
                       Some fantastic Kindle products, click below on link :
 
 
<iframe src="http://rcm-uk.amazon.co.uk/e/cm?t=durudarshanco-21&o=2&p=12&l=ur1&category=kindle&banner=0KM6H4ZKZB223DNMFAR2&f=ifr" width="300" height="250" scrolling="no" border="0" marginwidth="0" style="border:none;" frameborder="0"></iframe>
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Durudarshan.co.uk is a participant in the Amazon EU Associates Programme, an affiliate advertising programme designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to
Amazon.co.uk/Javari.co.uk.