Honest Information, Profitable Trading
Shopping Cart
Your Cart is Empty
Quantity:
Subtotal
Taxes
Shipping
Total
There was an error with PayPalClick here to try again

Durudarshan - Investment Analysis
Durudarshan - Investment Analysis
My Blog
Blog
Good news in what is likely to be a lean year
Posted on February 7, 2016 at 4:10 PM |
![]() |
It seems like 2016 is likely to be a lean year. The factors to which this can be attributed are many. But I see signs of great hope of India maintaining the worldwide economic Recovery, perhaps becoming (like Great Britain in days gone by) the foundry and workshop of the world. This is likely to become established in perhaps the next ten years or so, as the Make In India policy promulgated under Prime Minister Modiji gathers force and momentum. Of the two 'low wage' economies, India now seems to be in the cycle where it takes this crown, while China transits to a semblance of a mature economy, decelerating on the production and manufacture for exports and instead focused on enjoying their substantial capital reserves to raise the standards of living at home, perhaps by offering enhanced medical care, sound amounts of social security, and more expenditure on luxury and leisure, and investing more in infrastructure to go with it (for example telecoms, jet travel, luxury cars, etc). By some stretch of the imagination, the Chinese may en masse start to enjoy something similar to what they did in England in the 1960s, with a consumer led boom and easy credit.....the good times have arrived. Such policies can be implemented pretty quick in China, which is utilizing the free market economics and quantitative easing monetary policies which have been successful in America and Europe. They have been very responsive to curb exports where their goods were not welcomed by other nations, as well as increasing their capital flows and reducing the interest rate in tune to keep the economy motoring ahead. In this regard, India could take a hint from China. If the Western economies abandoned strict adherence to the Cambridge macro-economic model of monetary and fiscal adjustments to cope with the aftermath of the 2008 financial meltdown and to create the economy and confidence anew, then it behoves the Indians to take a hint from these measures and methods employed to do something similar. For a nation which has good savings lodged with banks by most people, in addition to owning gold ornaments and property, it seems India can with confidence take heart and reduce the benchmark interest rate. Capital investments will not flee; to the contrary, if there is the prospect of appreciation in a booming market, more investments will flood to India. And of course, it will feed the market, and grow it. There is a huge pent up demand for housing, motor cars, durable goods, etc, and as about 30 percent the population currently become adult, the huge demand potential is obvious. People have the same aspirations everywhere : after graduation, to find a good job, find a partner, get accommodation, own a scooter or a car on lease, and enjoy the good life. Everyone's productivity and service will feed more people. The hopes of all, but especially the 300 million who would become the new middle class in India, rests with the wise adjustments the RBI committee can make with the benchmark rate. It is as significant as that. Vast amounts of capital have been introduced by the major economies since 2009, the United Kingdom issuing some £375 billion, the U.S. perhaps $6 Trillion, Japan doing a stimulus that was perhaps more than their requirement (and now having a reverse impact, for which I suggest a cutting of the stimulus amount per month), Europe feeding the E.C.B. Stimulus of Euro 60 billion a month...In those economies, there is no lack of capital, if current arrangements are ongoing and maintained. The Oil exporting nations have seen a huge drop in their incomes, and this will impact their capacity to spend globally. Most nations who export to the Arab world and trade with the other Oil exporting nations will already be experiencing some problems. For their own sake, as well as that of the global economy, it would be just perfect for Saudi Arabia and Russia to call for production cuts, and implement such cuts that the glut can reduce and hence the price could improve for them. It would be good news even for the shale and fracking industries, once Oil returns to a price that makes the industries viable. I can imagine rising standards of living in both China and India....the Indian benchmark rate converging towards Benjamin Franklin's prescribed figure of 6 percent......Agreement on Oil production cuts by both Saudi Arabia and Russia, thereby helping to improve their own economies as well. The vast majority of Americans I believe will wish to see Obamacare maintained, as well as current levels of the social net, both of which the Republicans would wish to do away with or severely reduce, making life even more difficult for the youngsters and the retired folks. I understand most states give a small sum to each college leaver who is not able to find a job, but this is only for 13 weeks, after which they are high and dry. That used to be so before the enlightened policies of the Democrat administration under Mr Obama. Such policies would probably be revised under the Tea Party. It is abundantly clear by everything she says, Mrs Clinton cares deeply about the well-being and financial prosperity of all the people. If she becomes elected, the world can once again resume the symphony of Recovery and Prosperity. For that I pray. Kind regards, Duru-darshan (c) Copyright, but may be freely shared. |
Categories
- 1st E-Mail Campaign (3)
- Branding (328)
- The price of Oil (270)
- Best in the Industry (723)
- Website traffic streams (809)
- I would appreciate your comments (321)
- Debt Ceiling (116)
- Welcome (896)
- The price of Gold (158)
- Guest Book (149)
- Social Issues - Commentary (284)
- Peace (255)
- Worldwide Economic Recovery (954)
- Oil Price, Interest Rates and Recovery (392)
- Greek Debt Situation (80)
- Divine Guidance (777)
- Stock Market (212)
- Euro (88)
- Homely Comfort (78)
- Housing - Social and Improvements. (223)
- Selective Immigration (289)
- Eurozone (163)
- Help for Indebted Farmers in India (202)
- Bhopal (53)
- Corporaate Social Responsibility (44)
- Expansion the key, to avoid recession in midst of plenty. (442)
- Climate Change, make furniture (68)
- The Digital Economy (132)
- Security - Police (9)
- Middle East (79)
- Cinema (27)
- India - The Lokpal Bill (52)
- Personal three wishes for 2012 (325)
- Health - Diabetes (90)
- Help save High Street stores in Britain (190)
- app.brandwatch.com (35)
- Cultural harmony (189)
- The Third Industrial Revolution (160)
- Baptism to be born-again. (55)
- Co-operative Enterprises (108)
- Motivational (56)
- Debate about the £26,000 benefits cap. (17)
- Investment Analysis and Management (230)
- Euromillion Lottery Winners (50)
- The US Housing Market (254)
- The Church of Latter-Day Saints (107)
- Save the Leopards - WWF (64)
- Cycles and the stockmarket (105)
- Nuclear Power (19)
- Diamond Jubilee and Olympics (106)
- London Housing Market (89)
- International Women's Day (130)
- Japan - Prayer for continued recovery (64)
- India (86)
- Swami Ramdev, Patanjali Yogpeeth Trust, India. (53)
- A method to help Swollen legs (51)
- Georgia, Tbilisi (79)
- The Queen visits Ilford. (26)
- One day for God. (76)
- Football Clubs (36)
- Job creation for youngsters in U.K. (131)
- Spain (127)
- Burma - Nobel Laureate Aung Sang Suu Kyi (37)
- Real life supermen! (40)
- Profitable trading (63)
- Inspiration from the Master Mariner (60)
- More libraries, free books. (78)
- Somalia - books, handbags (25)
- Money, money, money (24)
- Ratings and Opinions (33)
- Prayer for Peace in Syria (64)
- Eike Batista, 10th Richest Man in the World. (78)
- Jobs and growth (141)
- Money supply (141)
- Yulia Tymoshenko (78)
- Nature's Law (87)
- Oil price and Recovery (86)
- The Queen's speech to Parliament (48)
- Painting and Art. (34)
- West Bengal (137)
- Social enterprise, Micro-finance for UK entrepreneurs. (96)
- Micro and macro - chocolate, fruits, money. (69)
- Batman, comic books, turn ons. (27)
- Credit Easing (53)
- #Business Show, Excel, 18th May (today) Docklands. (4)
- Kimberley Davis, Sarsaparilla (91)
- Tolstoy's bread crumbs (47)
- Money for 18-24 year old Entrepreneurs (41)
- Jon Bon Jovi, Rockstar, Humanitarian, a Heart of Love. (106)
- Greece (28)
- Herbal and Ayuvedic medications (60)
- The Tools for te nut (33)
- J.P. Morgan (7)
- Interest Rate and the Economy. (83)
- Remain connected, improve connections (62)
- The Affordable Health Care Act - great news. (38)
- Prophet Mohammed (27)
- Pakistani treatment of Indian prisoners (11)
- The God Particle. (6)
- Corrections : CBoC rate and Stephanie Ruhle (2)
- Milk (11)
- Paralympics (3)
- Gurdas Sidhu - Knowledge to Action (7)
- Diamond Jubilee Year and Paralympics (11)
- Ayurveda - Jobs in voluntary sector (12)
- Vegetarian food in Las Vegas (63)
- Business Show, Olympia 22-23 Nov London (2)
- Mr Wilson, Yoga Masseur (19)
- durudarshanco-21 (9)
- Gifts...for Christmas and all year round (10)
- British Airways - lost property - missingx.com (5)
- Free Money and grants for U.S. citizens. (34)
- The Chancellor's Autumn Statement (6)
- Egypt (23)
- Right to Work, Obamacare, competitive wages. (22)
- China - positive signs (33)
- Hollywood L.A. (10)
- Children dying of measles in Larkana, Sindh. (6)
- Frozen shoulder (13)
- Trillion dollar coin? (21)
- India's 14th 5-Year Budget. (15)
- Budget for the Enterprise culture. (5)
- Bangladesh building collapse (6)
- Interest only Mortgages (8)
- Developments in Orissa, Bengal, Meghalaya (18)
- Debt Ceiling II (18)
- The Queen's Speech 8th May (15)
- How does money get to the real economy? (45)
- From Recovery to Prosperity (58)
- Acts of Nature (6)
- Nigeria (9)
- Winds, be thee still. (23)
- Growth for Europe (23)
- Real life Super-woman (1)
- Turkey (5)
- London Business Show - 7th June 2013. (1)
- Mr Maponya, a dream city in South Africa. (39)
- Happy Fathers Day (1)
- G8 Summit (4)
- The Himalayan tsunami (4)
- May Allah bring Peace (14)
- The magic of chemistry - partnerships. (24)
- Accomodative Stance. (31)
- Drink a Pinta Milk a day. (6)
- Utah (28)
- Oil price far too high (34)
- Detroit (23)
- Elan Musk (13)
- Right selection of business (15)
- Swami Baba Ramdev (3)
- Truth shall prevail - a spiritual musical (6)
- Zimbabwe - may it continue with fair policies (32)
- Happy Birthday, Grace! (1)
- Durudarshan.co.uk/blog (8)
- Light a candle....to Prosperity (16)
- U.S. shutdown (6)
- www.durudarshan.co.uk (17)
- Durudarshan for Prime Minister of India, May 2014 (9)
- Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Bengal (5)
- World Money Show, 8th & 9th November (1)
- Remembrance Sunday (1)
- The Mystery Method (1)
- Continuation of Recovery. (11)
- Iran, a new era of peace (1)
- London Business Show, 28-29 Nov, Olympia. (1)
- Cyberattack? or just some hiccup? (2)
- vistaprint test (1)
- Testing, testing (1)
- Happy New Year! (2)
- Hacking a problem on blog - please connect via Facebook (1)
- Happy Easter (1)
- Promoting on www.durudarshan.co.uk (1)
- Good days ahead for India, with the Acheh din Budget. (2)
- GoodshowTradingLtd.com (2)
- InterTrader Affiliate (1)
- The future is bright, very bright (2)
- ECB Stimulus (3)
- Facebook - my blogs on Facebook (1)
- Prosperity (5)
- Stimulus in Europe? (4)
- Abenomics, Mr Kuroda. (3)
- Undocumented Immigrants in the U.S. (1)
- E.C.B. Stimulus (4)
- Pensions (1)
- Testimonies at the Latter Day Saints church, Ilford, UK (1)
- Swissie (1)
- Peace between Russia and Ukraine (1)
- The Euro Area Stimulus to commence very soon (2)
- Peace and Understanding. (1)
- Pray, and avoid the tragic occurences (1)
- It would be just wonderful....The Queen's Speech (1)
- Redmond - Blessings of peace unto you. (1)
- Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints (1)
- A sensible arrangement with Greece would be best (1)
- What can Mr Putin not do? (1)
- How would a Greek 'default' affect us all? (1)
- Fathers Day - some heartwarming words (1)
- A crunch point for Greece and the Euro Area. (1)
- Greece - an act of faith is necessary (1)
- Read the Scriptures with spirit, and you will find the answers. (1)
- Greece - In or Out of the Euro system? (1)
- "Where there is peace, there will be prosperity". (2)
- The Golden Plates and the Inspired Translation of the Book of Mormon. (1)
- Why I feel optimistic about Greece (1)
- Mr Tsipras makes impassioned plea for help for Greece (1)
- A 385 Billion Euro Plan for Greece - the Jucker Plan (2)
- To Alexis Tsipras and the Greek nation - growth, Recovery and Prosperity. (1)
- Raise a glass of bubbly to Greece (1)
- After the bitter pill, good times ahead for Greece? (1)
- Mrs Hillary Clinton for President (2)
- Appeal for peace and help for Ukraine (1)
- Renewed Recovery for the Euro Area now possible. (2)
- Wish you a joyful weekend. (1)
- Chinese stockmarket fall (1)
- Recovery in the Eurozone now likely to continue (1)
- Testimony at the LDS Church after the Blue Moon (1)
- So much money! (1)
- The Yuan adjustment (1)
- Greek national dance in celebration. (1)
- Suggest Japan should taper their Stimulus. (1)
- Mountain of $57 Trillion, and a family worth 700 Trillion? (1)
- Good times ahead (1)
- I believe Japan should reduce their Stimulus (1)
- The Mormons (1)
- U.S. government funding till November 2016, please. (2)
- Bank of England rate unlikely to be raised just yet... (1)
- How can we perhaps have the miracle of Inflation? (1)
- Exciting times ahead for the world economy. (1)
- Some thoughts on Christianity (1)
- Enhanced ECB Stimulus would be an Act of Faith. (2)
- Creating employment, the challenge facing Europe (1)
- U.S. should extend the Debt Ceiling, Japan should taper, India should cut the rate, U.K. doing fine (2)
- With high energy prices, how can British steel industry survive? Yet survive it must. (1)
- Extended Stimulus by the E.C.B. and a 10 basis point cut seems good news. (2)
- Please, can they consider amending the Myanmar Constitution? (2)
- Poor inner-city areas a breeding ground for terrorists? (1)
- Heavenly Father, where art Thou? Can people share God's Umbrella? (1)
- Jesus, the Heart of Love for all Mankind (1)
- Cheers to the pre Christmas spirit (1)
- Touker Suleyman, who bought an ailing company for a £1 and turned it into a £27 Million tu (1)
- Loves and blessings for Christmas (1)
- Manoj Bhargava - Billionsinchange (1)
- Historical blogs - of current interest. (1)
- Some thoughts for the New Year. (1)
- Basil leaves tea.... for reducing diabetes, soothing cancer (1)
- Musical Christmas celebration, by the Hyde Park Choir (1)
- Wish you a Happy New Year...Prunay le gillon, Oxford and New York. (1)
- Climate change? Unseasonally warm (1)
- North Korea's Mini Bomb....let us view it as comic relief. (1)
- A stockmarket correction before resumption of the bull trend? (1)
- The love of Christ - a strong enough foundation. (1)
- Work hard, and work for peace....that way may be the noble, dignified way forward. (1)
- Mrs Clinton holds Mr Trump on form. I believe she will win. (1)
- "I know for a certainty that He is coming back" (1)
- China is still very rosy, with re-focus of the economy (1)
- Now is the time for all good men and women to come to the aid of the Party. (1)
- Saudi Arabia proposing some welcome cuts. (1)
- Sister Akunne's good news...her exam pass, and continuity to work as a teacher. (1)
- Hillary Clinton, The Donald, the Tea Party? (1)
- How can the symphony of Recovery and Prosperity resume? (1)
- Good evening, Greek friends.... (1)
- The future looks rosy. I believe we shall avoid a recession. (1)
- Tolstoy would have been as Christ. (1)
- Year of the Monkey. (1)
- Swaminarayan Temple, Neasden (1)
- Testimonies of a Christian family (1)
- Hopefully, the ceasefire can lead to a greater Peace in Syria. (1)
- Syria Peace Talks to be arranged for 9th March 2016 (1)
- Shadow boxing? The night is yet young in the contest for the highest office in the world. (1)
- The U.S. Presidential race (1)
- Hillary Clinton odds-on favourite with the bookies, no wonder. (1)
- ECB 20 Billion additional stimulus, (1)
- The refugees from Syria - help for them, please. (1)
- The U.S. Property sector, creating $2 Trillion to the good. (1)
- The Republican candidates (1)
- Who will win the Presidential race? (1)
- Peace, as a rose upon stony ground. (1)
- Donald Trump would be good for a King, but not as President (1)
- Hillary for America. The Democrat faithful can make it so today. (1)
- The U.S. Presidential elections (1)
- Peace helps us not to fall short of the glory of God. (1)
- Further peace, lessen war and conflicts. (1)
- Peace and Prosperity ahead for 2016? (1)
- Tata Steel - could they find a buyer soon? (1)
- The Panama Papers (1)
- Go ahead, ask the banks for a business loan. (1)
- Would you borrow from your bank? (1)
- the British steel industry - and the E.U. (1)
- Hillary Clinton needs all the support in New York and California...and Redmond,Kentucky... (1)
- France, Germany, Brazil, India, Russia.....greetings! (1)
- It's looking good for Hillary Clinton.....and for Donald Trump. (1)
- India, shortage of water a national emergency? (1)
- Drought, and shortage of drinking water, in India. (1)
- Do you care about the young doctors? (1)
- Why don't the stockmarkets like prospect of a Republican win? (1)
- Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London. A celebration. (1)
- A further pierod of economic Recovery in the Euro Area,and Europe. (1)
- Hillary for America = America for Hillary (1)
- I pray for Venezuela, now suffering poverty due to fall in Oil price. (1)
- Brexit? Oh no, I believe it would be a bad idea. (1)
- Can Dr Yellen delay hiking the rate for some time? (1)
- Peace in Syria - something must be done to arrange this. (1)
- Is Brexit likely? Will Hillary win the Presidential race? (1)
- Will the DOW reach 18500, or even 19000? (1)
- My sentiments are to vote IN on 23rd June 2016. (1)
- Europe hopes Britain will remain In. (1)
- Brexit - a lesson for positive changes? (1)
- A 'damage limitation' excercise after Brexit. (1)
- Over half a million new jobs with a Brexit? (1)
- Progress in harmony, not disruption. (1)
- Steady growth for Europe for the next 18 months, by grace of God. (1)
- Could Mr Kuroda taper the Stimulus? (1)
- Ah so....Mr Abe's economic stimulus, authorized by Guvnor Kuroda. (1)
- Clarity will help the Euro develop into a strong Reserve Currency. (1)
- Donald Trump shall be a good great President (1)
- DEmonitisation may have a flaw (1)
/